Albemarle is the global leader in the essential materials supply chain, primarily focused on Lithium for high-density energy storage, alongside specialty chemicals like Bromine and Catalysts. It sits at the physical commodity layer, heavily leveraged to the secular growth of electric vehicles and grid modernization.
ALB is a direct, leveraged play on the bottoming of the Lithium commodity cycle. Current fundamentals reflect the trough, characterized by negative sequential revenue growth (-1.67%) and severe gross margin contraction (QoQ change of -5.81 percentage points). This pressure is inherent to the C4 physical commodity cycle. However, the long-term thesis is secured by the necessity of its products for the energy transition (T4). Operational weakness is contrasted by strong management conviction: insiders have bought $706k worth of shares in the last six months. We view this high insider confidence as a signal that the cycle is nearing an inflection point, positioning the company to capture upside when global EV and storage demand (C6) accelerates. Quality Score is low (13/100) due to current poor profitability (TTM Net Margin -0.43%), but the valuation reflects this cyclical risk.
| Market Cap | None |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | None |
| Revenue (TTM) | None |
| Profit Margin | None |
| 52 Week High | None |
| 52 Week Low | None |
| Price | 134.46 |
What do you have to believe?
Growth vs Discount Rate
| 12% | 9% | 7% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | -- | -- | -- |
| Base | -- | -- | -- |
| Low | -- | -- | -- |
β Undervalued β Overvalued
| Year | Revenue | Margin | FCF | PV of FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terminal Value (PV) | -- | |||
| Enterprise Value | -- | |||
| Equity Value (EV + Cash - Debt) | -- | |||
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