SHOP Shopify Inc.

Quality Score 64.4

Commerce platform architected for vertical integration, providing an operating system for merchants across physical and digital channels. The stack includes storefronts, global payments (Shop Pay), and embedded financial services.

SHOP has successfully completed its shift toward high-fidelity execution, stabilizing as a capital-efficient Compounder (M1). The operational pivot is confirmed by a Rule of 40 score of 49.33, driven by 31.54% YoY revenue growth and a 17.79% TTM FCF margin. The immediate alpha thesis hinges on sustained FCF expansion and the platform's ability to monetize AI integrations (T6) to increase ARPU, offsetting macro rate sensitivity (C5). Current gross margin trend shows modest QoQ expansion (+0.33%), signaling pricing power as the high-margin Payments sector scales relative to overall revenue.

CEO: Mr. Tobias Lutke Links: Competes with AMZN (fulfillment) and cloud solutions from MSFT and GOOGL.

Financial Statistics

Market Cap 213.7B
PE Ratio (TTM) 120.73
Revenue (TTM) 10.7B
Profit Margin 0.1665
52 Week High 182.19
52 Week Low 69.84
Price 164.72
Price Projection
Current --
12M Target --
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Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

Balance Sheet Structure

Cash Flow

💰 Valuation Playground

🚀 Revenue Growth (5Y Avg) 10%
-10% | 50%
💰 FCF Margin Trajectory (5Y) %%
Now Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5
⚠️ Discount Rate (WACC) 9%
5% | 15%
$0
Fair Value
Current Price $0
Fair Value 0%

What do you have to believe?

Sensitivity Matrix

Growth vs Discount Rate

12% 9% 7%
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■ Undervalued ■ Overvalued

Terminal Growth 2.5% perpetual
Implied Exit Multiple --
Starting FCF (TTM) --
Net Debt --
Shares Out --
📊 View Cash Flow Projections
Year Revenue Margin FCF PV of FCF
Terminal Value (PV) --
Enterprise Value --
Equity Value (EV + Cash - Debt) --

News & Sentiment

SEC Filings